22 December 2023 by Maxime Perriot
What are those IMF surcharges? They are very rarely seen on the web, and for good reason: the IMF does not communicate about them. It is almost impossible to find references on the subject in French, and there are very few in English. How much do they amount to? What countries are impacted? Here is a quick overview of a mechanism that adds to the burden of already vulnerable countries.
If a country borrows more than 187.5% of its quota ratio, it will have to pay surcharges to the IMF on credits over this level.
A mechanism created in 1997, IMF surcharges are charges applied to borrowing countries that borrow “too much from the IMF”. To understand how these surcharges work, let’s first look at how the International Monetary Fund operates. The 190 members of the IMF provide the IMF with part of the resources it lends, in the form of a quota. [1] In theory, each country’s contribution is commensurate with its “weight in the world economy”, but actually the United States, its European allies and Japan are blocking any increase in China’s quota. China, which is the world’s second largest economy and will soon overtake the United States, is entitled to only a 6.09% quota, while the United States’ is 16.5%. This inconsistency is easily explained: each country’s voting rights for important IMF decisions is proportional to its contribution. In addition, IMF loans to member states are proportional to their quota, i.e. their contribution to the IMF. To sum up, a rich country of the North with a higher quota than a poor country will have more voting rights and be entitled to higher loans. As already mentioned the US have 16.5% of IMF quota, which gives them a de facto veto power, since the required majority for any significant decision is 85%.
To sum up, a rich country of the North with a higher quota than a poor country will have more voting rights and be entitled to higher loans. As already mentioned the US have 16.5% of IMF quota, which gives them a de facto veto power, since the required majority for any significant decision is 85%.
| Also read: Let’s not be fooled by Kristalina Giorgeva and the IMF |
A low-income country of the South will be entitled to lower loans than a country of the North (in proportion to its contribution) and will have a ridiculously weak impact on votes. Countries of the South are gathered in clusters. For instance a group of 23 countries including Côte d’Ivoire, Benin and DRC is entitled to only 1.62%.
IMF loans are proportional to countries’ contributions to the IMF resources, so to their weight in the world economy. If a country borrows more than 187.5% of its quota [2], it will have to pay surcharges on loans above this level. There are two types of surcharges:
A defaulting country that lacks hard currencies to pay its external debt, to which no lender will lend except at exorbitant rates, can resort to the IMF. If the loan exceeds 187.5% of its quota, it will have to pay a significant surcharge. While already in a difficult position it will be forced into even more debt. It is subjected to the IMF conditionalities, which further reduces its middle- and long-term revenues (reduction of social expenditure, privatisations, etc.), and if it does not manage to reduce its IMF borrowing under 187.5% of its quota within 36 or 51 months, it will have to face more penalties.
It’s only logical that IMF surcharges should explode, as the IMF is back in full force. It has lent to nearly 100 countries since the Covid-19 pandemic
This system puts even more pressure on countries that are already in dire financial straits. Instead of supporting their populations by financing social welfare, education, health care, etc., the country cuts back on spending and pays ever more interest Interest An amount paid in remuneration of an investment or received by a lender. Interest is calculated on the amount of the capital invested or borrowed, the duration of the operation and the rate that has been set. and penalties. For some countries, the surcharges can even double the cost of borrowing. [3]. In other words, the international institution dominated by the United States, and more generally by Western countries, is going to punish the country (often a former colony) and its population that don’t pay back fast enough. In many ways, this is a neo-colonial mechanism.
In an analysis published by Eurodad [4], Daniel Munevar has calculated that, between 2021 and 2028, for countries affected by IMF surcharges, these represented an average of 61% of their borrowing costs ($8 billion). This means that these surcharges are on average higher than the conventional interest charges levied by the international financial institution. These surcharges hit countries that rely too heavily on the IMF because they are going through a debt crisis.
Similarly, in an article published for the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), Francisco Amsler and Michael Galant calculated that between April 2023 and January 2025, the IMF is levying more than US$2 billion in surcharges [5].
The surcharges levied by the IMF have been very high since 2021, and particularly since 2023. They will remain so for years to come. This makes perfect sense: since the Covid-19 pandemic, the IMF has come back with a vengeance, lending $300 billion to nearly 100 countries. [6]. Some of these states have exceeded the famous threshold of 187.5% of their quota. They therefore pay surcharges.
While “only” 7 countries were paying surcharges to the IMF in 2019, 16 nations are now affected by this penalty
While “only” 7 countries were paying IMF surcharges in 2019, 16 nations are now affected by this penalty: Argentina, Ukraine, Egypt, Ecuador, Pakistan, Albania, Armenia, Jordan, Angola, Costa Rica, Barbados, Georgia, Gabon, Tunisia, Seychelles and Mongolia. For these 16 countries, by 2030, the cumulative cost of borrowing (not including the sums lent and repaid at the end, known as “principal”) could rise from US$36.6 billion to US$43.9 billion. Of this US$43.9 billion, US$12.2 billion would correspond to surcharges. [7].
Table 1 : Accumulated Charges and Interest Payments and Estimates of Surcharges in 2023–2033, in USD millions
In this table based on calculations by Francisco Amsler and Michael Galant [8], we note that the five countries most affected by IMF surcharges are Argentina, Ukraine, Egypt, Ecuador and Pakistan.
From now until 2025, Argentina will pay an average of more than one billion US dollars a year in surcharges, equivalent to half the Argentine health budget in 2022.
From now until 2025, Argentina will pay an average of more than one billion US dollars a year in surcharges, equivalent to half the Argentine health budget in 2022.
Argentina, which borrowed a staggering US$44 billion from the IMF in 2018, is expected to pay around US$7.1 billion in surtaxes between 2023 and 2033 (equivalent to Togo’s annual GDP
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Domestic Product is an aggregate measure of total production within a given territory equal to the sum of the gross values added. The measure is notoriously incomplete; for example it does not take into account any activity that does not enter into a commercial exchange. The GDP takes into account both the production of goods and the production of services. Economic growth is defined as the variation of the GDP from one period to another.
). [9]) This is absolutely massive, and corresponds to 36.2% of the total cost of borrowing over this period from the IMF (interest, late payment penalties, surcharges, etc. - again, the cost of borrowing does not include the amount borrowed up front and repaid at the end of the loan). Between now and 2025, Argentina will pay an average of over one billion US dollars a year in surcharges (equivalent to half the Argentine health budget in 2022 [10]).
Ukraine, at war since Russia’s aggression two years ago, has also been hit hard by IMF surcharges. Between 2023 and 2033, Ukraine will have to pay US$3.8 billion in surcharges (the equivalent of Ukraine’s annual defence budget just before the start of the war) [11] or Andorra’s annual GDP [12]). The IMF has no mercy for countries at war.
| Also read: Ukraine: Resisting creditors |
No compassion either for the countries and populations hardest hit by climate change, even though they are not responsible for it. The Pakistani population, victims of terrible floods in the summer of 2022 - accelerating the country’s debt crisis - is also witnessing part of its taxes going into the surcharges imposed by the IMF. These surcharges represent 43.2% of Pakistan’s borrowing costs between 2023 and 2033, and almost twice the annual education budget of the Pakistani government [13]).
The conclusion is very obvious: the IMF is increasingly sinking countries that have the misfortune of borrowing excessively from it because they are suffering a debt crisis due to armed conflict, climatic disasters, or other causes for which they are not responsible.
Table 2 : Countries at High or Moderate Risk of Paying Surcharges in the Future (countries with outstanding GRA credit to quota ratio above 100%)
According to Francisco Amsler and Michael Galant’s calculations [14], several countries are at great risk of paying IMF surcharges in the coming months. This is the case for Sri Lanka, whose IMF borrowings represent 180% of its quota, and which is going through an unprecedented debt crisis coupled with an intervention by the International Monetary Fund that is hitting the population very hard. This is also the case for Senegal, Benin, Moldavia, Northern Macedonia and Morocco, which hosted the latest annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank
World Bank
WB
The World Bank was founded as part of the new international monetary system set up at Bretton Woods in 1944. Its capital is provided by member states’ contributions and loans on the international money markets. It financed public and private projects in Third World and East European countries.
It consists of several closely associated institutions, among which :
1. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD, 189 members in 2017), which provides loans in productive sectors such as farming or energy ;
2. The International Development Association (IDA, 159 members in 1997), which provides less advanced countries with long-term loans (35-40 years) at very low interest (1%) ;
3. The International Finance Corporation (IFC), which provides both loan and equity finance for business ventures in developing countries.
As Third World Debt gets worse, the World Bank (along with the IMF) tends to adopt a macro-economic perspective. For instance, it enforces adjustment policies that are intended to balance heavily indebted countries’ payments. The World Bank advises those countries that have to undergo the IMF’s therapy on such matters as how to reduce budget deficits, round up savings, enduce foreign investors to settle within their borders, or free prices and exchange rates.
. As explained above, it’s only logical that more and more countries should be hit by IMF surcharges, as the institution has been lending heavily since the Covid-19 pandemic.
The trend can only deepen since countries of the Global South are going through a severe debt crisis resulting from a succession of external shocks: the Covid-19 pandemic, the increase in cereal prices as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and made worse by speculation, the rise in interest rates
Interest rates
When A lends money to B, B repays the amount lent by A (the capital) as well as a supplementary sum known as interest, so that A has an interest in agreeing to this financial operation. The interest is determined by the interest rate, which may be high or low. To take a very simple example: if A borrows 100 million dollars for 10 years at a fixed interest rate of 5%, the first year he will repay a tenth of the capital initially borrowed (10 million dollars) plus 5% of the capital owed, i.e. 5 million dollars, that is a total of 15 million dollars. In the second year, he will again repay 10% of the capital borrowed, but the 5% now only applies to the remaining 90 million dollars still due, i.e. 4.5 million dollars, or a total of 14.5 million dollars. And so on, until the tenth year when he will repay the last 10 million dollars, plus 5% of that remaining 10 million dollars, i.e. 0.5 million dollars, giving a total of 10.5 million dollars. Over 10 years, the total amount repaid will come to 127.5 million dollars. The repayment of the capital is not usually made in equal instalments. In the initial years, the repayment concerns mainly the interest, and the proportion of capital repaid increases over the years. In this case, if repayments are stopped, the capital still due is higher…
The nominal interest rate is the rate at which the loan is contracted. The real interest rate is the nominal rate reduced by the rate of inflation.
by the US Federal Reserve
FED
Federal Reserve
Officially, Federal Reserve System, is the United States’ central bank created in 1913 by the ’Federal Reserve Act’, also called the ’Owen-Glass Act’, after a series of banking crises, particularly the ’Bank Panic’ of 1907.
FED – decentralized central bank : http://www.federalreserve.gov/
(FED), the European Central and the Bank of England.
The author is grateful to Christine Pagnoulle, Sylvie Cartaillac and Éric Toussaint for their comments.
Translated by Christine Pagnoulle
[1] Interests on loans also contribute to the IMF resources.
[2] Surcharges only apply to loans granted on the IMF’s General Resources Account, not on concessional loans (at lower rates for countries facing difficulties).
[3] The cost of borrowing does not include the stock (i.e. the initial loan). It covers interests, surcharges and the like.
[4] Daniel Munevar,A guide to IMF surcharges, Eurodad, 02/12/2021.
[5] Francisco Amsler, Michael Galant, The Growing Burden of IMF Surcharges : An Updated Estimate, Center for Economic and Policy Research, 13/04/2023.
[7] United Nations General Assembly, External debt sustainability and development, Note by the Secretary-General, 25 July 2023.
[8] Francisco Amsler, Michael Galant, op.cit.
[9] World Bank (GDP current US$).
[10] Administracion Nacional – Ejecucion Año 2022, Clasificacion del gasto por finalidad y naturalieza economica
[11] Julie Richard, Guerre en Ukraine : combien dépensent les États européens pour leur défense ?, La Croix, 27/02/2022.
[12] World Bank, op.cit.
[13] Government of Pakistan, Finance Division, Federal Budget, 2021-2022 – Annual Budget Statement.
Egypt, in the midst of its debt crisis, is no exception, with around US$1.3 billion in surcharges to be paid over the next ten years (the equivalent of 10 annual education budgets by 2021/2022 standards[[Ahmed Zikrallah, Review and outlook of Egypt’s General Budget (2022-2025), Egyptian Institute for Studies, 24/01/2022.
[14] Francisco Amsler, Michael Galant, op.cit.
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