Part 2 of Towards a successful “Great Bifurcation”: Recognize ecological debt
14 January by Eric Toussaint , Maxime Perriot

Photo : Vincent Noirhomme
The capitalist system and its institutions have fully integrated climate change into their mental software and suggest false solutions that do not address the issues raised in Part 1 of this series, To successfully achieve the Great Bifurcation we must recognize ecological debt. In this part we shall review some of these false solutions that were highlighted at the COP 28 and 29 climate conferences.
ESG bonds are one of the manifestations of a financial capitalism that assumes it can solve the problems it itself has created through more finance, more market, and therefore more debts
ESG bonds (with environmental, social and governance standards) are one of the solutions promoted by the World Bank
World Bank
WB
The World Bank was founded as part of the new international monetary system set up at Bretton Woods in 1944. Its capital is provided by member states’ contributions and loans on the international money markets. It financed public and private projects in Third World and East European countries.
It consists of several closely associated institutions, among which :
1. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD, 189 members in 2017), which provides loans in productive sectors such as farming or energy ;
2. The International Development Association (IDA, 159 members in 1997), which provides less advanced countries with long-term loans (35-40 years) at very low interest (1%) ;
3. The International Finance Corporation (IFC), which provides both loan and equity finance for business ventures in developing countries.
As Third World Debt gets worse, the World Bank (along with the IMF) tends to adopt a macro-economic perspective. For instance, it enforces adjustment policies that are intended to balance heavily indebted countries’ payments. The World Bank advises those countries that have to undergo the IMF’s therapy on such matters as how to reduce budget deficits, round up savings, enduce foreign investors to settle within their borders, or free prices and exchange rates.
, and by international multilateral institutions in general, to fight climate disruptions. The ESG label includes several kinds of bonds: green bonds (environmental standards), bonds with social standards, blue bonds (protecting oceans), etc. On paper they are issued to finance a project that contributes to ecological transition, to the protection of oceans, forests, etc. They make it possible for the individual or company involved in such a project to find investors.
How does this work? The ESG bonds are supposed to offer a more attractive interest Interest An amount paid in remuneration of an investment or received by a lender. Interest is calculated on the amount of the capital invested or borrowed, the duration of the operation and the rate that has been set. rate for borrowers and “reward” environmental or social achievements. In 70% of ESG bond Bond A bond is a stake in a debt issued by a company or governmental body. The holder of the bond, the creditor, is entitled to interest and reimbursement of the principal. If the company is listed, the holder can also sell the bond on a stock-exchange. issues, performance indicators will increase or decrease the cost of borrowing. [1] For instance, in 2022, Chile issued SLBs (Sustainability Linked Bonds, a kind of ESG bond). The contract stipulates that Chile must generate half of its electricity from renewable sources by 2028. If it fails to meet this target, Chile will pay an additional 0.125 percentage points of interest on top of the 4.36% interest on the bond issued. [2] The interest rate can also be reduced if the objective is achieved, as in the case of an ESG bond issued by Uruguay in 2022.
In spite of significant resources provided by the World Bank to promote ESG bonds, they are only a drop in the sea of the international bond market
Bond market
A market where medium-term and long-term capital is lent/borrowed in the form of bonds. Bonds are creditor stakes issued by companies or States.
. In 2017, the Fiji islands, with the WB’s financial support, were the first country to issue a green bond for USD 50 million. [3] The WB also helped the Seychelles Islands in 2018 when they issued a blue bond. At least twenty more countries foled between 2017 and 2023, for total issues of USD 64 billion. [4] Chile is the most active country, with 25 ESG bond issues, representing almost half of all issues by so-called “developing” countries over this period. [5] This total is growing, but remains very low compared with the USD 1,340.8 billion worth of bonds issued by countries in the Global South between 2017 and 2022 (not even 5% of bond issues by these countries over the period). [6] Let us note that issuing bonds is not the only way in which those countries contract debts. They also receive loans from other countries or from multilateral institutions such as the IMF
IMF
International Monetary Fund
Along with the World Bank, the IMF was founded on the day the Bretton Woods Agreements were signed. Its first mission was to support the new system of standard exchange rates.
When the Bretton Wood fixed rates system came to an end in 1971, the main function of the IMF became that of being both policeman and fireman for global capital: it acts as policeman when it enforces its Structural Adjustment Policies and as fireman when it steps in to help out governments in risk of defaulting on debt repayments.
As for the World Bank, a weighted voting system operates: depending on the amount paid as contribution by each member state. 85% of the votes is required to modify the IMF Charter (which means that the USA with 17,68% % of the votes has a de facto veto on any change).
The institution is dominated by five countries: the United States (16,74%), Japan (6,23%), Germany (5,81%), France (4,29%) and the UK (4,29%).
The other 183 member countries are divided into groups led by one country. The most important one (6,57% of the votes) is led by Belgium. The least important group of countries (1,55% of the votes) is led by Gabon and brings together African countries.
http://imf.org
, development banks of the WB. ESG bonds thus amount to hardly anything in the ocean of debts owed by countries of the Global South.
| For more information on the WB’s past and present policies with respect to the ecological crisis, see: Éric Toussaint, “Climate and environmental crisis: Sorcerer’s apprentices at the World Bank and the IMF” CADTM, 26 June 2024 |
Following its ideology which says that the climate crisis, like all other crises, can only be solved thanks to the all-hallowed market, more money and a better integration of countries of the Global South into financial markets, the World Bank thus promotes bonds with a low issue size that have no effect on climate disruptions:
In short, the ESG bonds promoted by institutions such as the WB and the IMF are anything but a solution to climate change. They are one of the manifestations of a financial capitalism that assumes it can solve the problems it itself has created through more finance, more market, and therefore more debts. Debt-for-Nature swaps, which are a form of ESG bond, are another example of the false solutions presented by international financial institutions such as the Bretton Woods institutions or the African Development Bank.
This ‘solution’ promoted by the countries of the North via the World Bank and the IMF implies that these countries do not know how to take care of the protection of their territory themselves
Strongly promoted during the COP 28 and 29, as well as by international financial institutions and the United Nations, Debt-for-Nature swaps are the latest fashion. While they have been around since 1987 (the first instance occurred in Bolivia), they have multiplied over the last years. Belize, Ecuador, Mozambique, Gabon and the Seychelles Islands have recently experimented with these swaps.
What are Debt-for-Nature swaps? They involve States, major international NGOs and banks, and, on paper, they consist in the conversion of part of a State’s debt into investments to protect part of the living world, the forest or part of the country’s ecosystems. The supposed benefit is that a State’s repayments are used to protect its territory, rather than to enrich creditors. (Instead of repaying a creditor, the country will pay a major NGO that will contribute to a fund to protect the territory.) Reality, however, is a far cry from this.
Here are the reasons why the CADTM opposes this fashionable false solution:
Debt-for-Nature swaps are an obvious swindle that distracts from the true solution: namely suspension of payment, an audit and cancellation of illegitimate debts. They are one of the several false solutions put forward during the COP 28 in Dubai.
Unsurprisingly, the COP 28 organized in Dubai in December 2023 and the COP 29 organized in Baku (Azerbaijan) in 2024 highlighted the false solutions promoted by green capitalism.
The Carbon offsetting market commodifies nature, and mainly forests in countries of the Global South
One of these is Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR). This method consists in offsetting certain CO2 emissions by “preserving” forests, via reforestation, avoiding deforestation, or by developing techniques and technologies to remove CO2 from the atmosphere. For the time being, most carbon dioxide is captured through reforestation.
Originally devised to capture unavoidable emissions, the solution ultimately fits perfectly into the system, since it allows polluters to go on polluting provided they pay to offset part of their emissions. CDR makes it possible for companies to improve their image and claim “low” emissions since, while they still pollute just as much or even more, they pay to preserve forests. This solution is completely absurd.
It commodifies nature, and mainly forests in countries of the Global South. During COP 28, the company Blue Carbon LLC, especially created by a member of the royal family of the United Arab Emirates, signed numerous agreements with leaders of the Global South to take over huge areas of their land for thirty years. This land will allow Blue Carbon LLC to sell carbon credits to polluting companies and take in 70% of their incomes. [22] 25 million hectares of forest (the surface area of the United Kingdom) in Liberia, Angola, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe have been purchased by this company, and therefore by the United Arab Emirates. 20% of Zimbabwe’s surface area, 10% of Liberia’s and Zambia’s surface area and 8% of Tanzania’s have been taken over by Blue Carbon LLC. [23] Similarly the Swiss company South Pole grabbed part of the Zimbabwe forest. [24]
As demonstrated by Adam Anieh, [25] countries of the Gulf attempt to put pseudo-technologies of carbon capture and the carbon-offsetting market at the centre of debates, especially during the COPs, to prevent talks about putting an end to the use of fossil energies. Their strategy is as follows: hush things up and spearhead false solutions using finance and the market to generate ever more money at the expense of the ecological transition, while continuing to happily extract and export hydrocarbons – in short, to make sure that nothing changes.
| For more information : Adam Hanieh, “Laundering Carbon—The Gulf’s ‘New Scramble for Africa’,” CADTM, 14 August 2024 |
Let us take an example. A company that pollutes a lot can call upon Blue Carbon LLC in order to offset its carbon footprint. It just pays this company for it to keep land in the Global South it has taken over for thirty years. Here are the consequences:
Carbon dioxide removal techniques are thus a tell-tale illustration of what the capitalist system can invent in order to appear to make sweeping changes and take problems into account without actually changing anything. CDR allows more and more actors to get rich through “preserving” forests or reforesting, to multiply transactions and feed ever increasing growth, whereas the urgency of climate change demands slowing down. Moreover, all solutions that involve taking over land in the South for the benefit of the North without any regard for local populations are another form of colonialism that robs local populations of their resources and territories whilst claiming to protect the environment. This also applies to renewable energies, when Morocco forcibly installs wind turbines in Western Sahara to sell the energy produced to the North. Another example is the Xlinks project in Morocco, which aims to bring electricity to the UK via undersea cables. [29] In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, mining extraction – notably of cobalt – necessary to produce mobile phones and electric vehicles is carried out by overexploited children. Cobalt mining is a major factor in the war being waged in Kivu. [30]
Developing renewable energies for the North with the blood of Congolese people or through plundering communities in the Global South is unacceptable. Developing renewable energies while local people do not all have access to energy and while Europe deploys inhuman migration policies is just as unacceptable.
The Fund for responding to Loss and Damage was required by island nations that have been particularly exposed to the consequences of climate disruptions for more than thirty years. It was initiated during COP 27 in 2022. The principle of the Fund is as follows: countries of the North contribute to it to compensate countries of the Global South impacted by climate disasters. The Fund made headlines at the start of Cop 28, with several countries, including Germany, the European Union and the United Arab Emirates, pledging a total of USD 420 million to the Fund. [31]
However, donations are made on a voluntary basis, and the announcements were made at the beginning of COP 28 since those countries knew they would get media attention. But there is no constraint on countries of the North to contribute to this fund. Nor is there any guarantee that those amounts will be grants and not loans. Moreover the amounts mentioned are tiny when compared with actual needs to adapt to climate disruptions , which are estimated at about USD 2,000 billion a year. [32] Besides, the fund will be hosted by the World Bank for at least four years. The World Bank levies fees on the funds it hosts. For the Loss and Damage fund, these fees can amount to 24%. This means that if the fund has USD 100 billion, 24 billion go into the WB coffers. [33]
We can clearly see that the solutions promoted by the IMF, by the WB, or during the COPs are false solutions that perfectly fit a continued economic growth and an ever faster increase in capitalists getting richer. These are the kind of solutions that capitalism is famous for, in order to make people believe that it is taking climate change into account, when in reality nothing is changing, or is changing extremely slowly in relation to the seriousness of the climate catastrophe. In the face of such illusions, we urgently need to fight for radical alternatives, through a system of reparations and taxation of the wealthiest to ensure a just ecological bifurcation.
Translated by Christine Pagnoulle in collaboration with Snake Arbusto
The authors would like to thank Pablo Laixhay, Jawad Moustakbal and Christine Pagnoulle for their review
[1] Andre Standing, “Sovereign ESG bonds in the global south: 10 questions for those concerned about debt and climate justice,” Eurodad, 2023, p.19, https://assets.nationbuilder.com/eurodad/pages/3227/attachments/original/1701795920/ESG_Brief_V3.pdf?1701795920, accessed on 16 October 2024.
[2] Ibid, p.15.
[3] Ibid. p.11.
[4] Ibid. p. 6.
[5] Ibid. p. 12.
[6] The authors’ estimation based on WB data, International debt statistics.
[7] Andre Standing, op.cit. p.10. Sustainalytics Amsterdam, elle, appartient désormais à 60% à un fonds d’investissement (Morningstar).
[8] Ibid. p. 20.
[9] Ibid. p.19.
[10] Ibid.
[11] Anne Theisen, « Quelles alternatives face aux fausses solutions promues par la Banque africaine de développement ? », CADTM, 19 février 2024, https://www.cadtm.org/Quelles-alternatives-face-aux-fausses-solutions-promues-par-la-Banque-africaine , consulté le 16 octobre 2024
[12] Andre Standing, op.cit. p.19.
[13] Anne Theisen, art.cité.
[14] Andre Standing, op.cit. p.16.
[15] Ibid. p.16.
[16] Ibid. p. 25.
[17] Ibid. p. 20.
[18] Anne Theisen, op.cit.
[19] Ibid. p. 19.
[20] Ibid. p. 24.
[21] Iolanda Fresnillo, “Miracle or mirage : are debt swaps really a silver bullet?”, Eurodad, 4 decembre 2023, https://www.eurodad.org/miracle_or_mirage.
[22] Vincent Lucchese, “Capter le CO2, un cadeau empoisonné pour les pays du Sud,” Reporterre, 11 December 2023, https://reporterre.net/Capter-le-CO2-un-cadeau-empoisonne-pour-les-pays-du-Sud, accessed 16 October 2024 (in French only).
[23] Ibid.
[24] Paul Martial, “COP28 : le capitalisme vert contre l’Afrique,” L’Anticapitaliste, 14 December 2023, https://lanticapitaliste.org/actualite/ecologie/cop28-le-capitalisme-vert-contre-lafrique, accessed 16 October 2024.
[25] Adam Hanieh, “Laundering Carbon—The Gulf’s ‘New Scramble for Africa’,” CADTM, 14 August 2024, https://www.cadtm.org/Laundering-Carbon-The-Gulf-s-New-Scramble-for-Africa, accessed 16 October 2024.
[26] Ibid.
[27] Fadhel Kaboub in Katherine Hearst, “Kenya concedes ‘millions of hectares’ to UAE firm in latest carbon offset deal,” Middle East Eye, November 5, 2023.
[28] Adam Hanieh, op.cit.
[29] Hamza Hamouchene, “En Tunisie, Algérie et Maroc, transition énergétique rime avec néocolonialisme,” Reporterre, 11 December 2023, https://reporterre.net/En-Tunisie-Algerie-et-Maroc-transition-energetique-rime-avec-neocolonialisme?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=nl_quotidienne, accessed 16 October 2024.
[30] On the same topic see also Lora Verheecke, « Décarboner = recoloniser ? », for Entraide & Fraternité. https://entraide.be/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2024/02/Etude2024_DecarbonerRecoloniser.pdf , accessed 16 October 2024.
[31] Ibid.
[32] Fiona Harvey, “Developing countries will need $2tn a year in climate funding by 2030,” The Guardian, 8 November 2022, https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/08/developing-countries-climate-crisis-funding-2030-report-nicholas-stern, accessed 16 October 2024.
[33] Dorothy Guerrero, “The World Bank should not host the Loss and Damage Fund,” Global Justice Now, 3 November 2023, https://www.globaljustice.org.uk/blog/2023/11/the-world-bank-should-not-host-the-loss-and-damage-fund/, accessed 16 October 2024.
is a historian and political scientist who completed his Ph.D. at the universities of Paris VIII and Liège, is the spokesperson of the CADTM International, and sits on the Scientific Council of ATTAC France.
He is the author of World Bank: A Critical History, London, Pluto, 2023, Greece 2015: there was an alternative. London: Resistance Books / IIRE / CADTM, 2020 , Debt System (Haymarket books, Chicago, 2019), Bankocracy (2015); The Life and Crimes of an Exemplary Man (2014); Glance in the Rear View Mirror. Neoliberal Ideology From its Origins to the Present, Haymarket books, Chicago, 2012, etc.
See his bibliography: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89ric_Toussaint
He co-authored World debt figures 2015 with Pierre Gottiniaux, Daniel Munevar and Antonio Sanabria (2015); and with Damien Millet Debt, the IMF, and the World Bank: Sixty Questions, Sixty Answers, Monthly Review Books, New York, 2010. He was the scientific coordinator of the Greek Truth Commission on Public Debt from April 2015 to November 2015.
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